Friday, January 3, 2014

Who will gain world dominance?

Noah Smith - a writer with quartz.com - recently wrote a thoughtful article, “Why China can’t take over the world.”  A provocative title to be sure, but one that many are considering as China approaches the same GDP as the USA.  As though answering the un-verbalized fear of many Westerners, Noah goes back through history to show that the concern of many in the West about China’s global ambitions may not be grounded in the soundest of judgment in spite of their economic successes.  He points out that while China was always a powerful country geopolitically, it was also almost always turned in on itself – largely because of the number of disparate people/political groups within it, and for reasons of internal strife and power struggles between said groups, never rose to the prominence that it might have.  He concludes that this situation is still valid today and in all likelihood will be valid for the foreseeable future.  The same thing that often kept China from realizing its potential as the world’s dominant nation—its tremendous, unwieldy size—means that although it will surpass the US in total GDP, its supremacy may well be short-lived and incomplete.”[1]

If Noah’s analysis is correct, then what of the USA?  It is larger than China, and surely has just as many (if not more) people/political groups within?   And what of Canada – even larger?  Certainly we might see that with both Canada and the USA, we simply do not have the time behind us to see if we will be successful where the Chinese have historically not been (that is, in keeping our eyes and efforts beyond our borders instead of inside them).   Two hundred years are but a fraction of the Chinese history.  In fact, if one looks at the same time period, we could conclude that the principle has been proven here even more than in China – for the native north Americans were not united and thus fell from power once European immigration set in.  Noah’s principle (that too large a country will automatically fail to maintain world prominence because of the divergence of the peoples within) has significant merit, and it could be easily argued from world history.  People are people – and that means they each have unique identities.  Countries only exist because of a common identity among peoples, and as soon as that identity is pushed too far by cultural shifts, the fabric of that common identity is shredded.  That means that in order to see a global unity, there must be a global sense of identity. 

Your identity is a complex mix of personality and culture (internal and external influence). So it follows that a working global sense of identity would need to come from both an internal and an external influence in the people it governs.  Countries fail when they try to overcome the gap in internal influence through use of external pressure.   Such a strategy will always fail because it cannot create unity of identity (in fact it always creates the opposite - a sense of ‘us vs them’).  What is needed then is a sense of identity that is just as rooted in people’s minds for what they are, as it is rooted in their culture of who they are.

That idea isn’t new – in fact we have an English word for exact this.  We call it religion.  

Religion has become a bad word in modern society – so much so that many reading this will have stopped at the previous sentence.  In fact, one might argue – as many do – that religion is not a unifying identity so much as it is an agent of separation.   That’s perhaps too big a subject for a short discussion – nevertheless all countries have borders, and those who are not ‘part’ are kept outside, and those who are a ‘part’ are welcomed in.  The struggle is not that religion separates – it is that religion as mankind has made it cannot overcome the internal and external influences on the people it claims.  What we need is an internal identity that lines up with external influence. 

Revelation 7 says;

“After this I looked and there before me was a great multitude that no one could count, from every nation, tribe, people and language, standing before the throne and in front of the Lamb. They were wearing white robes and were holding palm branches in their hands. 10 And they cried out in a loud voice: “Salvation belongs to our God, who sits on the throne, and to the Lamb.” [2]
“Then one of the elders asked me, “These in white robes—who are they, and where did they come from?” 14 I answered, “Sir, you know.” And he said, “These are they who have come out of the great tribulation; they have washed their robes and made them white in the blood of the Lamb. 15 Therefore, they are before the throne of God and serve him day and night in his temple; and he who sits on the throne will spread his tent over them. Never again will they hunger; never again will they thirst. The sun will not beat upon them, nor any scorching heat. For the Lamb at the center of the throne will be their shepherd; he will lead them to springs of living water. And God will wipe away every tear from their eyes.” [3]

Amen.






[1] http://qz.com/162690/why-china-cant-take-over-the-world/#/
[2] The Holy Bible: New International Version. (1984). (Re 7:9–10). Grand Rapids, MI: Zondervan.
[3] The Holy Bible: New International Version. (1984). (Re 7:13–17). Grand Rapids, MI: Zondervan.

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